Tag Archives: Real Estate

Concerning A Challenge for Positive Change, A Few Thoughts

challenge

Every once in a while, some thought leader in the real estate industry issues a challenge, a plea, a lamentation about the inability of various parts of the industry to work together. If only we could set aside petty politics, set aside irrational suspicion, and figure out how to work together for mutual benefit, things could be dramatically better.

It is a tantalizing, inspiring vision.

The latest such call comes from one of the doyennes of the industry, Marilyn Wilson, of the WAVGroup. She is one of the most respected voices in real estate, having been a longtime consultant to MLS, Associations, brokerages, franchises, and other organizations. She sits on the board of Council of MLS, and other similarly important organizations. There may be people more influential than Marilyn Wilson, but I’m hard pressed to think of any.

So when she issues a Challenge for Positive Change, it is well worth reading and thinking about. That will carry weight unlike say when yours truly issues some similar call for change. :)

I find myself nodding along to Marilyn’s concise descriptions of the problems and issues, and find myself wanting to answer the challenge. However, I do not think that calls for unity and cooperation can go very far without looking hard at some underlying realities of the industry as it is today. The hopeful heart must be married to clear eyes if this challenge is not to become yet another in the long string of quickly forgotten inspirational calls to action.

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Pocket Listings and MLS Accuracy

After all the chatter emerging out of Midyear, there really is no shortage of topics to think and talk about. There is merely the shortage of time. But I thought this topic needs to be addressed, and I’m quite surprised none of the usual commentariat has tackled it.

At some point, we are going to have to address the issue of pocket listings and what that means for the industry, no? Let’s get started.

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[PREMIUM] Move, Trulia, Zillow: Q1/2013 Report – The Narratives Take Shape

diverging-paths-cropped

The narratives take shape, and start to diverge in Q1/2013.

When I began writing this report, I did not think that a mere update on quarterly results would reach over 12,000 words and require so much work. After all, the annual report is the really important one, and the quarterly reports are mere milestones along the path.

But with all of the changes going on in real estate today, it turned out that there were some really significant signs and developments in Q1 of 2013. The three companies – Move, Trulia, and Zillow – have begun to diverge from each other in not just performance, but in their overall strategic narratives. Each has made important strategic decisions and has begun to execute on them, and the first quarter of 2013 provides glimpses into what the future holds.

Move, the veteran, actually showed revitalization across the board. But it is unlikely to get much credit for its strong performance because the two upstarts outperformed Move on virtually every metric. Nonetheless, the narrative for Move has shifted subtly, but importantly. The content to connection to close story is a good one, and Q1 suggests that perhaps, that strategy is working. At the same time, there are some hints that perhaps Move is undergoing a far more fundamental change in who they are and what they do.

In the case of Trulia, of course, it isn’t merely a glimpse. With their $355M acquisition of Market Leader, Trulia has more or less set its strategic path for the next couple of years. It was a bold move, probably a necessary move, and one filled with high risk and high reward. Coming on top of an extremely strong quarter, where Trulia beat out Move handily and either outperformed or kept pace with Zillow on almost all key metrics, the acquisition sets Trulia’s strategy and narrative for the foreseeable future. If I wrote in the last report that I wasn’t sure what Trulia’s strategic vision was, well, consider that corrected. It is now obvious what Trulia’s narrative will be.

Zillow’s Q1 results and the important management discussion that followed can be described with a word: confidence. Having announced in the 2012 earnings call that Zillow plans to start heavy TV advertising to take over the “brand whitespace” that is real estate, Q1 gave us some results and some glimpses into how that is working. This is a company that knows it has the lead, knows it’s winning, and has decided to start building enduring competitive advantages. Trulia won the quarter, but it will take more than one quarter to catch up to the frontrunner, who knows he’s out front, and by quite a lot.

All of these developments will have deep strategic implications for everyone in the real estate industry, from brokers to agents to franchise companies to MLS and Associations to vendors and other technology companies. Some of the implications will be obvious, and others less so. What I have tried to do is to tease out details on the one hand, while taking a step back and looking at all three companies and their narratives to get a sense of the overall shape of things to come.

For all of you who have subscribed to access this Premium Report, my deepest gratitude. For those who have not, please click on through and you’ll get to page where you can purchase access to this, and other, Premium Content.

This report is provided for informational use only, intended to assist professional investors and industry professionals. The information contained herein does not constitute investment advice and may be subject to correction, completion and amendment without notice. 7DS Associates assumes no duty to make any such corrections or updates. While the information contained herein contains opinions and projections, it is not our intention to state, indicate or imply in any manner that current or past results are indicative of potential future results. As with all investments, there are associated risks and you could lose money investing. Prior to making any investment, a prospective investor should consult with his own investment, accounting, legal and tax advisers to evaluate independently the risks, consequences and suitability of that investment. 7DS Associates disclaims any and all liability relating to any investor reliance on the accuracy of the information contained herein or relating to any omissions or errors and as such disclaims any and all losses that may result in an investment in any company mentioned in the report.

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Words Matter: The Case Against “Listing Data”

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Not that there’s anything truly new under the sun when it comes to the old warhorse topic of listing syndication, but… something did occur to me while wading through this nugget on Inman News’ Facebook Page.

Is it possible that so much of the discussion is confused because of the word “data”?

For example, Saul Klein of Poin2 writes:

It is time for the Industry to “take back its future.” It is time to look seriously at data rights and data licensing. It is not too late.

Whatever you might think of Sauls cri de coeur, what came to my mind was… we’re using the language of industries like music and retail to describe something that is fundamentally different, no?

For example, WalMart collects all sorts of data about its customers. It uses that data for massive analytics to make decisions that drive billions of dollars in sales. It protects that proprietary data in heavily fortified data centers, and it does not share the data with anybody (as far as I know). There are tons of companies whose business involves the collection of data, which they then sell to various customers.

Actual content companies — book publishers, music companies, Hollywood, etc. — create stuff that people will pay to read/hear/watch. I suppose a book is “data” in a sense, since it’s all digital bits and bytes living in the Cloud these days, and yeah, violating the copyright of a publisher is a no-no.

But when it comes to “listing data”, aren’t we talking about advertisements?

I mean, yes, just because something is an ad doesn’t mean copyright law doesn’t apply. Of course it does. I recognize that the brokers or the MLS or the photographer or whoever created the listing owns copyright, has data rights, can license those rights, and so on and so forth. There’s no legal difference between a listing and a retail point-of-sale data stream.

But isn’t there a practical difference?

“Listing data”, after all, is the advertisement of a property for sale. The broker owns the copyrightable parts of it, yes, but… should we completely ignore the fact that if the property were not for sale, the actual sellers would never have consented to the creation of the “listing data package” in the first place? As far as the seller is concerned, the “listing data” exists for the sole purpose of selling his damn house.

Which means that the issue of “listing data rights” and “listing data licensing” ought to be rephrased as “advertisements of homes for sale rights” and “advertisements of homes for sale licensing” for the purpose of precision. If those more precise terms sound faintly ridiculous… there’s probably a reason for that.

When I think in those terms, the whole syndication thing isn’t about data rights or data licensing at all, but about effective and ineffective advertising. If channel X or method Y is effective advertising, helping the seller achieve the purpose for which the “listing data” was created in the first place (i.e., sell the house), then… well, what is the problem here? If channel Z or method Q is ineffective, then  by all means, stop.

The listing agent or broker can explain to the seller why she chose not to use XYZ website or method. As long as the seller is cool with it, all is good.

Consider this:

Seller: “Hey, I really want you to send singing telegrams about my house.”

Agent: “Yeah, that’s like a really great idea, said nobody ever, and I would never waste time and money on something so stupid.”

Seller: “Oh, okay, sorry. You’re the expert.”

vs.

Seller: “Hey, I really want you to send singing telegrams about my house.”

Agent: “Well, I don’t want to have singing telegram companies making money off of my listing data, and they haven’t executed the proper listing data license with me.”

Seller: “What the hell are you talking about?”

When I consider the fact that “listing data” is actually an advertisement of a property for sale, created by people who are supposedly fiduciaries of the seller, who were given the right to create that “data” for the sole purpose of effecting the sale of the seller’s property, the whole notion of “data licensing” starts to smell.

The whole “I can’t stand that Zillow is making money off my listing” thing is… sort of incomprehensible. The seller didn’t allow you to list his home so that you can generate a bunch of leads or worry about which advertising companies are making money and how. He allowed you to list his home — and to create the advertising “data” about it — so you can sell his home quickly and efficiently.

So once again, I return to my original advice on the topic:

  • Pay ‘em: Go negotiate a deal with the aggregators that is mutually satisfactory; or,
  • Pull ‘em: Go pull your listings from sites you don’t like; or,
  • Zip ‘em: Recognize you’re getting free stuff and #quityerbitchin.

If you don’t like using singing telegrams, don’t use it to advertise the listing. If you don’t like printing gorgeous 4-color books, don’t do it. If you don’t like doing open houses, by all means, don’t do them. And if If you don’t like ZTR, don’t advertise there.

Why so complicated? It could be because of the terminology: “listing data”.

Confusion arises from imprecision. Words matter.

-rsh

Notorious P.O.D. Episode 2: Krishna Malyala of TLCEngine

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So… I’ve decided to start doing podcasts. Because it’s fun, it allows me to get really in-depth on some topics without having to write 50,000 word posts, and because some things (like interviewing cool and interesting people doing cool and interesting things, or arguing about some topic or another) are easier on audio than with the written word.

I first did this when I interviewed Brian Copeland for his NAR Code of Ethics campaign. Well, I bring you an interview with a young technology entrepreneur who is doing some interesting things. My plan is to get really in-depth, with each episode probably lasting an hour or so. That kind of time allows all sorts of issues to be explored,

Krishna Malyala is the Co-Founder of TLCEngine. They’re trying to change the whole culture of how people search for homes and think about buying homes. Take a listen by clicking above, and leave any comments below. (I’ll look into the whole iTunes thing too so you can subscribe if you’d like.)

TLCEngine is pre-launch, so this video is probably the only thing out there right now. He goes into more depth about his system:

Many thanks to Krishna for being willing to endure the friendly-but-tough grilling that’s sort of my modus operandi. Since this is a new effort, the sound quality is not going to be a professional-caliber thing. If y’all like this podcast thing, maybe I’ll look into improving the production values.

Thanks!

-rsh

Redfin Uses A Curious Definition of “Bubble”

 bubblicious

First of all, I know there’s cool Q1 news out there and coming soon from companies I’m keeping track of. But I’m at the T3 Summit today, so look for the Q1 updates next week.

In the meantime, I thought I would take notice of something… a bit odd.

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Intention vs. Ability: More Truthiness On Millennials and Homeownership

truthiness

Maybe it’s the frothy spring real estate market where multiple offers and higher prices are blooming like tulips, but there is yet another please-dear-god-let-this-be-true prayer disguised as a news story making its way around the Interwebz.

The persistent prayer is that the Millennials will unleash themselves into the housing market and buy up homes left, right, and center. We’ve heard this before. In fact, we’ve been hearing it for ten years now. But the latest comes from Pulte Homes, who have no vested interest whatsoever on the issue. (H/T: KCM Blog)

Because there’s a few yummy pieces of truthiness in this “news story”, I felt like dissecting it a bit.

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Curious: Why Not Open Bidding?

NYSE-Floor

Was talking to an industry buddy about some theoretical things, and something kind of jumped out at me. Why the standard practice in real estate of sealed offers? You know, the whole “best and final” submitted to the listing agent without knowing what you’re up against?

Why not simply have more of the “open outcry” system as in the stock markets? With technology as it is, it should be simple indeed to put up some sort of a “Bid” page with a list of offers and major terms, no? (Or do it in the MLS if there are privacy concerns?) I could imagine someone setting forth the bidding period, at the end of which the decision will be made, with an Ebay-style anti-sniping rule (if bid comes in within the last 4 hours, the bidding period is automatically extended for another 24, etc.).

I know there are terms besides price (contingencies, time to close, etc.) but those could all be spelled out and put on a webpage somewhere. It’s not quite an auction system like they have in Australia and elsewhere, but it is a bit more transparent than the “best and final” sealed bid system.

Is the idea behind sealed bid that some buyers might bid way more than others because they don’t know what the others are offering?

Since I’ve never worked as a real estate agent, I’m just really curious about why. Would love to hear from my REALTOR friends on why the offer system is the way it is today.

-rsh

Book Review: The ONE Thing

OneThing3dLeftI read a lot. Part of it is what I do for a living, which includes things like reading stuff written in legalese (aka, crime against English language), but a part of it is because I like to read. For the most part, it’s fiction — especially works of high fantasy like A Song of Ice and Fire (that would be Game of Thrones for you non-geeks). But from time to time, I review ‘business’ books. Especially when the publisher sends me a free copy.

I do love free books. :)

To be honest, most of the time, I find such “business” books to be dreadful. They make the same impact as a stone skipping over a calm pond: momentary, quickly fading, and never touching any deeper depths. Well, I’m happy to report that the new book, The One Thing, by Gary Keller and Jay Papasan of Keller Williams fame is not one of those books.

In fact, I would classify this book as far more of a personal help book than a business book, although I’m sure that tens of thousands of real estate people will use it for both.

Normally, a Notorious review consists of the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly, just because I really like Clint Eastwood. But in this case, I think we should go with the Good, the Hmmm…, and the Could Do Without.

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Jeff Brown Explains It For You: Why Agent-Centric Brokerage Sucks

Broker-Centric Brokerage of 1965…

Over at AGBeat, Jeff Brown — a real estate broker I know personally and have respected for years both for his knowledge and his utter fearlessness — gets into the weeds and explains why “agent-centric” brokerage model sucks. Well, to be fair, the actual title of his post is, “Why real estate’s agent-centric broker models are doomed” which on second thought isn’t any softer than “sucks”.

But he’s writing about the same phenomenon and threat that I wrote about in my Realogy Report (Premium Content): the threat of agent teams. He does so, however, with some hypothetical numbers and with historical perspective. Both are worth delving into; I urge you to read the whole thing.

There are a couple of points to be made from his post, so let’s go ahead and make them.

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