Tag Archives: prognostication

Seven Predictions for 2011, With Music Videos!

Ted Williams: .406 batting average in 1941. Me: .600 in 2009. Sorta...

Coming off of an awesome, Hall-of-Fame type of year in which I batted .600 in predictions (or, alternatively, a year in which I only got 6 out of 10 predictions even remotely close to right, and hence am a big #FAIL), I thought I would don the Nostradamus hat once again and make foolish predictions for 2011. I know I should make 10 predictions, but… y’know, I’m sort of stuck on that number Seven.

Here are seven predictions for 2011. Many are guaranteed to be wrong, or your money back! But as a bonus, each prediction comes with a music video for your entertainment.

[Warning: don’t read this is you’re feeling happy and optimistic, and you want to stay that way. I’m personally feeling happy and optimistic, but as I put this together, I can’t help but want to reach for strong drink for the industry as a whole. I know I tend towards bearishness, and some might suggest, alarmism, so… I’d suggest you go read some other 2011 predictions posts as well. Here are a few I’ve seen myself: Lani on Agent Genius, Greg Robertson on VendorAlley, and this whole series over at Inman.com.

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Reviewing My 2009 Predictions

The Seven of Cups Means You're Batting .600!

It’s that time of the year when thoughts turn to chestnuts roasting on an open fire, sleighing through the snow laughing all the way, and making predictions about the future that are likely to be completely wrong. I’m working on that.

But in advance of it, I thought I’d take a look at my track record. In 2009, I made a Top Ten Predictions for 2010 on Inman.com (which you can buy here, though I see not a penny of it, so why I’m promoting it is unclear to me). A year ago I made the following predictions:

10. Social Media Will Divide Between E-Commerce (Can Prove ROI) and PR (Cannot Prove ROI)
9. RPR will reinvent itself
8. A Major Brokerage Company Will Hand the Reins to an Executive Under 40
7. Google Becomes a Real Player in Real Estate
6. Housing market will be worse in 2010 than it was in 2009
5. The New York Jets will once again not win a Superbowl in 2010
4. At least one of the major national real estate search web sites will no longer be around as an independent company.
3. REBarCamp will move closer towards conventional conferences, while conventional conferences will move closer to REBarCamp.
2. A wave of consolidation will start in 2010 within MLS industry.
1. Real estate enterprise CRM will finally make its appearance and start to create competitive advantage for those who have it.

So let’s see how I did.

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